Match: Premier League
Fixture: Everton VS Tottenham Hotspur
Local Kick-off Time: 16:30, October 26th
Handicap Prediction:
Tottenham Hotspur +0.25 (Asian Handicap)
Draw + Away Win (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores: 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
Predicted Total Goals: 0, 1, 2
Comprehensive Analysis:
Everton’s strength lies in the lower-middle tier of the Premier League. They finished 13th in the league last season, with a performance that basically met expectations. This season, they have actively strengthened their squad, and their overall strength has steadily improved. After eight rounds, they have accumulated 11 points and rank 14th in the league. Their recent performance has declined, winning only one of their last six games. However, compared to their away form, the team has shown significantly more stability at home—they have remained unbeaten in all home games this season and have more confidence and support when playing at home.
Tottenham Hotspur, the away team, has strength in the upper-middle tier of the Premier League. They had a poor performance last season, finishing only 17th in the league, which was their worst record in recent seasons. This season, Tottenham has learned from their mistakes and actively strengthened the squad by signing several quality players. Their overall strength should be on par with last season’s level. However, misfortune has struck, and they are facing a severe injury crisis—nearly half of their key players are unavailable. This has had a serious impact on the team’s strength and positioning, and their current reputation is no longer the same as at the start of the season.
Summary:
In terms of squad strength, the two teams are now basically on par. Everton has a total squad value of €350 million, while Tottenham’s total squad value is €770 million. However, the advantage brought by Tottenham’s squad strength has been negated due to injuries.
In terms of recent form, the two teams are also relatively close. Tottenham’s recent results have been inconsistent due to their incomplete squad, so their away trip today no longer has the advantages of the past. Facing Everton, who has stable home form and a fully fit squad, Tottenham is even at a disadvantage.
Under this circumstance, the Asian Handicap has adjusted from the initial Level Handicap to Everton -0.25, which seems to be a move in line with the fundamentals. At this point, Everton has become a "promising candidate", and although this is their highest handicap against Tottenham in recent history, a comprehensive analysis shows that it is more likely to be a move to drive up expectations rather than a favorable one. Therefore, it is more advisable to back Tottenham to get away with at least a draw today.
