Match: Premier League
Fixture: Brentford VS Liverpool
Local Kick-off Time: 19:00, October 25th
Handicap Prediction:
Brentford +0.5 (Asian Handicap)
Home Win + Draw (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores: 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3
Comprehensive Analysis:
Brentford is getting back on track under the guidance of new manager Thomas Frank. In the last round, Brentford visited the London Stadium to face West Ham United. Despite a passive start in the opening phase, Brentford took control of the game after the 30th minute and finally won 2-0, securing valuable 3 points. Brentford’s recovery is inseparable from the outstanding performance of forward Ivan Toney. The Brazilian striker has scored 5 goals in 8 games, with 18 shots this season (9 on target), giving him a 50% shot-on-target rate. Excluding blocked shots, Toney’s shooting accuracy is as high as 69.3%.
Liverpool has been in a struggling state recently. After being beaten by Crystal Palace in the 6th round of the league, Liverpool successively lost 0-1 to Galatasaray, 1-2 to Chelsea, and 1-2 to Manchester United—following a 5-game league winning streak with a 3-game losing streak. It was not until the 3rd round of the Champions League that Liverpool finally marked the start of a rebound with a 5-1 thrashing of Eintracht Frankfurt. However, the team’s defense conceded again—Liverpool has only kept two clean sheets in the last 12 games across all competitions. More troublingly, Mohamed Salah’s current form is worrying: the Egyptian has failed to score in the last 7 games across all competitions and has wasted several golden opportunities provided by teammates. His move to delete Liverpool-related content from his personal social media has intensified the invisible conflicts.
Summary:
The initial Asian Handicap for this game opened with Liverpool -1. Under this handicap, it is reasonable for Liverpool to be favored given their strong squad. However, the current handicap has dropped by two tiers and now remains at Liverpool -0.5. This change has instead left room for Brentford. At present, Liverpool’s form in the midweek double-header is unstable, and there may still be an upset due to over-hyping after their midweek victory. Therefore, it is advisable to support Brentford to gain points with an upset at home.
