This Iceland 1. Deild clash between Fylkir and Throttur Reykjavik leans toward Under 3.25 goals based on the core stats, though it is far from a guaranteed outcome. The key indicators are clear: Fylkir’s home games have all gone Under 3.5 this season, with a stellar 0.25 goals conceded per home match. Head-to-head history reinforces this: just 36% of their 14 previous meetings went Over 3.5, while expected goals models project a combined 2.45 goals for this fixture, well below the line. That said, there is still valid risk: Fylkir recorded a 5-0 cup win recently, and Icelandic leagues do occasionally produce high-scoring surprises. While the stats strongly favor the Under line, it is a high-probability pick, not an absolute one.