none
Marco Fischer

Yield: +14.61% | Hit Rate: 57.97%

Avg Odds: 5.89

Form (30)

[Picks]South American Match Pick

3165d ago

Over/Under05/28 06:00CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana

Loss

Cienciano

Cienciano
FT--
CA Juventud

CA Juventud

Over-
Line2.5
Under-
This match is the final round of the Copa Sudamericana group stage. The two teams currently sit on 7 points and 6 points respectively, and both still have a chance of qualifying, so motivation will be high. From a basic analysis, the probability of there being 2 or more total goals is relatively high. First, Juventud's away attacking output has been consistently stable. Although the visitors’ overall results have been underwhelming, they have scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches, and their away scoring ability is trustworthy. More importantly, Juventud have been hitting the over at a very high rate lately, with 5 of their last 6 matches going over, suggesting an open tempo and no shortage of goals. Second, Cienciano's home firepower stands out. The hosts have scored 19 goals in 8 home matches this season, averaging an impressive 2.38 goals per game, and their attacking performances at home have been extremely strong. Against a Juventud side whose away defence has not been solid, conceding an average of 2 goals per away game, Cienciano scoring looks highly likely. In terms of the head-to-head record, the two sides drew 1-1 in the first leg, and the game was not a cautious one. As for the betting line, major bookmakers opened at 2.5 goals, while the over price has generally remained in the relatively low range of 0.76 to 0.85, showing that the market is clearly guarding against the over. Considering that both teams have the ability to score and are highly motivated, this match looks set to be an open, attack-minded contest.
This content is provided by featured experts for data research purposes only. Please make rational choices based on your own judgment.