Ajax -0.50 has moved from 1.97 down to 1.80, and the Asian handicap line has been noticeably compressed. Although the home-win odds in the European market are higher than at the opening, the movement on the handicap line is more worth paying attention to. I’m not betting based on the team name; I’m looking at how the market is behaving. 1.80 is still acceptable. If it drops to the low 1.70s close to kickoff, then most of the value will already be gone.