The objection is scoring without winning: Club Guaraní lost despite scoring in 0 games, Club Sportivo 2 de Mayo in 0. An attack finding the net is not enough to justify an outright-win claim. The recorded goals are 6 for and 5 against Club Guaraní, versus 6 for and 6 against Club Sportivo 2 de Mayo.
For Club Guaraní vs Club Sportivo 2 de Mayo, my judgment is Club Sportivo 2 de Mayo to win at 3.80. The value condition has to be strong enough to survive an explicit doubt. The short record and current price must point in the same direction. This position is tied to 3.80; its 26.3% gross threshold is a market calculation, not an outcome claim.
Five completed results cannot establish the next result or confirm the starting lineups. If the supporting price disappears, the correct response is to pass. I would rather pass on a weaker quote than turn a small five-game record into a stronger claim than it supports.
