I cross-check the results with goal balance: Argentino de Merlo have a net -3, Deportivo Merlo +1 across their separate five games. This tests the record from another direction, without adjusting for opponent strength. The quote is 2.02; excluding each side’s highest-scoring game leaves 4 goals for Argentino de Merlo and 3 for Deportivo Merlo across four games each. I would reassess if the case for this price depended on that omitted result.
Newest-first completed scorelines: Argentino de Merlo 2-3, 1-2, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1; Deportivo Merlo 2-1, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-1. These results are completed matches only; they do not independently verify starting lineups, injuries or a tactical plan for the upcoming game. The recorded goals are 6 for and 9 against Argentino de Merlo, versus 5 for and 4 against Deportivo Merlo. The careful view begins with Over 1.75 goals at 2.02. The careful case needs both a supported record and a price boundary.
The recorded goal counts do not establish match tempo or finishing quality. A changed market or material team news would invalidate this version of the thesis.