The gap in overall strength remains the core backdrop for this match. Neymar’s return gives Brazil a double boost, with an effect very similar to Cristiano Ronaldo’s for Portugal — even if he is not at his peak, simply being on the pitch will draw the attention of at least two defenders, creating space for wide attackers like Vinícius, while also giving the whole team a sense of psychological stability and helping prevent any drop in rhythm away from home. Scotland may have plenty of fighting spirit at home, but their overall tactical ceiling is limited. They rely on a compact defensive shape and isolated bursts of pressure, and against Brazil’s multi-pronged possession-based attack, it will be difficult for them to maintain defensive integrity throughout the match. Gaps in the half-spaces and weaknesses in second-ball protection will be repeatedly targeted. Brazil, aiming to secure top spot in the group, will keep a basic level of attacking intensity even with rotation, and their squad depth is more than enough to sustain pressure for the full 90 minutes. Overall, the away side -1.25.