The objection is scoring without winning: Club Tijuana lost despite scoring in 1 games, Santos Laguna in 0. An attack finding the net is not enough to justify an outright-win claim. The 3.60 quote implies a 27.8% break-even point before margin; the recorded results do not prove that rate. I only consider Santos Laguna to win at 3.60 because one condition holds. The value condition has to be strong enough to survive an explicit doubt. The short record and current price must point in the same direction. The recorded goals are 7 for and 8 against Club Tijuana, versus 13 for and 3 against Santos Laguna. Five completed results cannot establish the next result or confirm the starting lineups. I can favor the position and still reject a weaker price. I would rather pass on a weaker quote than turn a small five-game record into a stronger claim than it supports.