With Romania already assured of top spot in the group, they are expected to rotate their squad and take a more conservative approach in this clash, making Moldova on the +2/2.5 handicap a reasonable directional pick. Romania have no need to chase a big score against the weaker hosts, as they only need a narrow win to secure early progression. Moldova, meanwhile, have tightened up defensively in recent qualifiers, showing they can stay compact against stronger opposition. Their previous meetings suggest Romania rarely dominates by large margins. This tactical setup points to Moldova staying inside the handicap, though a sudden attacking surge from Romania’s young players could change that.