Forma (30)
[Picks]European Second-Tier Pick: A Mid-Table Firepower Duel in the Norwegian First Division
1834d ago
Mais/Menos05/21 01:001. Divisão Norueguesa
DerrotaEgersunds IK
FT--
Lyn Oslo
Mais-
Line3
Menos-
In Round 8 of the Norwegian First Division, Egersund host Lyn. The two sides sit sixth and 13th in the table respectively, but based on recent match data, this fixture has the basic conditions to produce a high-scoring game.
The home side, Egersund, have scored 12 goals in seven league matches this season, averaging 1.71 goals per game, which is a decent return in attack. At home, they have scored six goals in four matches, averaging 1.5 goals, and two of their last three home games have gone over the total. Although they lost 1-0 at home to Odd last round, they had previously beaten Ranheim 3-0, showing that their home attack is not always consistent but does have the potential to explode.
The away side, Lyn, have even more impressive away numbers. In three away matches, they have scored five goals and conceded two, averaging 1.67 goals per game on the road, and all three away games have gone over the total or pushed. Although Lyn's overall results have been poor, their attacking output away from home has clearly been better than at home. They have won their last two away matches against Mjøndalen and Sogndal, scoring four goals and keeping clean sheets in both.
In terms of the total goals line, bookmakers generally set the line at 2.5/3 goals or 3 goals. Looking at recent data, Egersund have seen four of their last six matches produce three or more goals, with an over rate above 60%; Lyn have also had four of their last six games finish with at least three goals. Combined, both teams have averaged more than 2.5 total goals per game across their last six matches.
In the head-to-head record, the over rate in the last 10 meetings between the two sides is 37.5%, but all of the last three encounters have gone over, including a 3-2 match in the 2025 Norwegian Cup, suggesting a trend toward more open games.
Taking into account both teams' home and away attacking data, the recent over trend, and the nature of their head-to-head meetings, the total goals are expected to be at least three.
