The defensive record is uneven: Sturm Graz kept 1 clean sheets in five recorded completed games, compared with 4 for NK Publikum Celje. Sturm Graz most recently played Wolfsberger AC (1-1) and previously SV Ried (2-2); NK Publikum Celje most recently played NK Nafta 1903 (4-0) and previously NK Olimpija Ljubljana (1-1). These are separate opponents and results, not head-to-head evidence. For this fixture I would watch whether Sturm Graz can prevent an early concession. The shutout count records outcomes only; it cannot establish chance quality or a likely goal total. Unconfirmed lineups leave that question open.