The unit-return check: a full win at 2.02 returns 1.02 net units for one unit staked. Refunds and split stakes must be settled separately; a single hit-rate percentage would hide that distinction. I would reassess the recommendation if the quote or line changed, because the same short record cannot justify every possible price. The recorded goals are 6 for and 4 against Arsenal de Sarandi, versus 6 for and 10 against Deportivo Camioneros. The range matters as well as the average: total goals span 0–4 in Arsenal de Sarandi games and 2–5 in Deportivo Camioneros games. One mean conceals those different paths. Newest-first completed scorelines: Arsenal de Sarandi 0-0, 3-1, 0-1, 2-0, 1-2; Deportivo Camioneros 3-2, 1-1, 1-2, 0-3, 1-2. These results are completed matches only; they do not independently verify starting lineups, injuries or a tactical plan for the upcoming game. My premium read starts with Over 2.25 goals at 2.02 and its limits. The measured comparison is the useful starting point, with uncertainty kept explicit. The recorded goal counts do not establish match tempo or finishing quality. A material price or lineup change would require a new assessment.