The objection is scoring without winning: Casric Stars lost despite scoring in 0 games, Highbury in 1. An attack finding the net is not enough to justify an outright-win claim. Price matters here: 4.75 corresponds to 21.1% before margin, and a shorter quote would need another look. I can defend Highbury to win at 4.75, but not without doubt. The value condition has to be strong enough to survive an explicit doubt. The short record and current price must point in the same direction. The recorded goals are 5 for and 2 against Casric Stars, versus 4 for and 5 against Highbury. Five completed results cannot establish the next result or confirm the starting lineups. I can favor the position and still reject a weaker price. I would rather pass on a weaker quote than turn a small five-game record into a stronger claim than it supports.