Match: DFB-Pokal
Fixture: Eintracht Frankfurt VS Borussia Dortmund
Local Kick-off Time: 18:30, October 28th
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Handicap Prediction:
Borussia Dortmund -0.25 (Asian Handicap)
Away Win (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores: 1-2, 1-3, 2-3
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
Comprehensive Analysis:
Eintracht Frankfurt currently ranks 6th in the Bundesliga with 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, accumulating 13 points. Last weekend, the team defeated St. Pauli 2-0 at home, ending a four-game winless streak across all competitions. Randal Kolo Muani scored twice, showing impressive form. Frankfurt previously endured a tough schedule: they lost 1-5 to both Atlético Madrid and Liverpool in the Champions League, were defeated 3-0 by Bayern Munich in the league, and were denied a win by Freiburg’s late equalizer in the 87th minute away from home. During this period, Frankfurt made certain rotations to their squad. In fact, since Omar Marmoush and Randal Kolo Muani joined Premier League giants in the past two transfer windows, Frankfurt has been promoting promising young players to establish themselves in the Bundesliga—a relatively mature team operation model.
Since the arrival of Nico Kovac, Borussia Dortmund’s competitiveness has significantly improved, with more stable performances. This season, the team has accumulated 17 points from 8 Bundesliga games, temporarily ranking 4th, only losing 1-2 away to the in-form Bayern Munich. They also remain unbeaten in the Champions League with 2 wins and 1 draw. Their poor away form in previous years has been improved: except for the opening game where they drew 3-3 with St. Pauli while playing with 10 men, Dortmund has delivered satisfactory performances in the other 4 away games. In terms of the squad, Dortmund has no injuries. In the last home game against Köln, forward Julian Brandt and midfielder Marcel Sabitzer came off the bench for less than 30 minutes, with the former scoring a stoppage-time winner. Additionally, key midfielder Jan Koutou failed to play; substitute players Jude Bellingham Jr. and Marco Reus also only featured for a few minutes in that game. Overall, even with certain rotations, Kovac can still field a starting lineup with considerable competitiveness. Both teams are participating in the Champions League this season, so the impact of consecutive midweek fixtures is similar, and Dortmund has deeper squad depth.
Summary:
In the last 10 head-to-head encounters, Frankfurt has 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, being at a clear disadvantage. However, in their last 10 home games, Frankfurt has only let Dortmund take away two victories, both occurring in 2022. But this season, apart from a drastic decline in defense, Frankfurt has lost all games against stronger opponents—especially those with higher strength than themselves.
In terms of the Asian Handicap, the initial line opened with Borussia Dortmund -0.25, focusing attention on Dortmund from the start. It is not surprising given Frankfurt’s poor performance against top teams: they conceded 16 goals and only scored 3 in games against Atlético Madrid, Liverpool, Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich. Therefore, it is advisable to back Borussia Dortmund to secure a win away from home.
