I cross-check the results with goal balance: Ferrocarril Midland have a net +4, Gimnasia y Tiro +1 across their separate five games. This tests the record from another direction, without adjusting for opponent strength. The quote is 1.90; excluding each side’s highest-scoring game leaves 4 goals for Ferrocarril Midland and 3 for Gimnasia y Tiro across four games each. I would reassess if the case for this price depended on that omitted result. Newest-first completed scorelines: Ferrocarril Midland 2-3, 4-0, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0; Gimnasia y Tiro 3-1, 2-2, 0-1, 1-0, 0-1. These results are completed matches only; they do not independently verify starting lineups, injuries or a tactical plan for the upcoming game. The recorded goals are 8 for and 4 against Ferrocarril Midland, versus 6 for and 5 against Gimnasia y Tiro. My deeper match read favors Over 1.75 goals at 1.90. The careful case needs both a supported record and a price boundary. The recorded goal counts do not establish match tempo or finishing quality. A changed market or material team news would invalidate this version of the thesis.