A simple coverage check for this league reader: the five-game records cover 5 named opponents for AFC Bournemouth and 5 for Sturm Graz. Repeated opponents limit how broadly those results can be read. The counter-check is the opposing record, so I keep both samples visible. The simple choice here is Sturm Graz to win at 17.00. For a broad-league reader, the useful point is a checkable record and one risk. A reader can check the result history and the price separately before deciding whether this simple view fits. The recorded goals are 6 for and 11 against AFC Bournemouth, versus 6 for and 8 against Sturm Graz. Five completed results cannot establish the next result or confirm the starting lineups. The pick is clear, and so is the uncertainty.