The careful view begins with Over 2.25 goals at 1.87. The careful case needs both a supported record and a price boundary. This position is tied to 1.87; its 53.5% gross threshold is a market calculation, not an outcome claim. I would reassess the recommendation if the quote or line changed, because the same short record cannot justify every possible price. Across five completed games each, SD San Ignacio are 1-2-2 and SD Eibar C are 1-2-2. That leaves a recorded win-count contrast of 0 across the two separate five-game samples; it is evidence to weigh, not a head-to-head result. Newest-first completed scorelines: SD San Ignacio 3-0, 1-2, 0-1, 1-1, 3-3; SD Eibar C 0-0, 1-2, 3-1, 1-1, 1-3. These results are completed matches only; they do not independently verify starting lineups, injuries or a tactical plan for the upcoming game. The recorded goals are 8 for and 7 against SD San Ignacio, versus 6 for and 7 against SD Eibar C. The recorded goal counts do not establish match tempo or finishing quality. The competition label alone does not establish either side’s intent.