For Alebrijes de Oaxaca against Correcaminos de la U.A.T., I take Alebrijes de Oaxaca +1.25 Asian handicap at 1.80. The recorded scorelines for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, newest first, are 0-4, 1-3, 0-3, 1-0, 1-4; for Correcaminos de la U.A.T. they are 0-0, 1-0, 1-3, 2-2, 1-4. The selection is Alebrijes de Oaxaca at a +1.25 handicap, not a straight match win. Alebrijes de Oaxaca recorded 1 wins and 0 draws in five completed games; that short record is context for the spread, not a claim about the next result. At decimal odds 1.80, the break-even threshold is about 55.6% before market margin; that number is a price hurdle, not a predicted win probability. A single early goal or a slow first half can change the path to this total. Alebrijes de Oaxaca–Correcaminos de la U.A.T.: the recent games are context, not a guarantee.